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Telegraph
European constitution is a poisoned chalice
Last Updated: 12:01am BST 09/06/2007
Gordon Brown must be wishing darkly that Tony Blair had brought forward his
departure by five days. The Prime Minister will hang around just long enough to
travel to Brussels and approve, in outline form, the revived European
constitution. In doing so, he will put his successor in a frightful pickle.
The trouble is that, in order to dish the Tories three years ago, Mr Blair
promised a referendum on the constitution. Labour's election manifesto was
unequivocal: "We will put it to the British people in a referendum and campaign
wholeheartedly for a Yes vote."
Mr Brown can read the polls as well as anyone else: he knows that, if a
plebiscite were held, the Noes would have it. So he will begin his premiership
with an unenviable choice: hold the referendum and be branded a loser, or drop
it and be branded a liar.
The third option - repudiating the new treaty - has been cleverly closed off. Mr
Blair and the French President, Nicolas Sarkozy, are deliberately drawing Mr
Brown into the negotiations so that his fingerprints, too, will be at the crime
scene.
The original plan had been to pretend that the new constitution was a
substantively different draft from the old. But, as Daniel Hannan observed on
this page on Thursday, that tactic has been made risible by the insistence of
other EU leaders and functionaries that the changes are cosmetic and minimalist.
The plan, as Angela Merkel put it in a letter to her fellow heads of government
(providentially leaked), is "to use different terminology without changing the
legal substance".
Labour's calculation seems to be that voters - with the exception of a committed
but electorally insignificant minority - have lost interest in the EU. Certainly
the issue languishes in the list of concerns, below the economy, health,
immigration, schools, tax and crime.
But public hostility to Brussels is rather like an intermittent Icelandic
geyser. It lies quiescent for long periods and then, with the slightest tremor
underfoot for warning, bursts forth in a scalding plume. It was to forestall
such an eruption that Mr Blair promised a referendum in the first place;
breaking that promise would almost certainly catalyse another.
Supporters of the constitution complain that its critics are ignorant of its
details and, in a sense, they have a point. Excepting a handful of Euro-sceptic
intellectuals, most putative No voters are not especially troubled by the
rejigging of voting weights, or the precise name of the EU foreign minister.
But they accurately perceive the bigger picture, namely that power is being
shifted from Westminster to Brussels, and that the constitution will confer on
the EU many of the defining qualities of statehood, including a legal system, a
foreign policy and a head of state.
They can see, too, that these things are being done over their heads and against
their will. They will understand that, having promised a referendum in order to
win office, Labour is now seeking to renege.
These things will make them angry; and they will be right to be angry.
And from The Sun
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